ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 800 AM PDT SUN JUL 10 2016 Deep convection associated with Blas has been absent for more than 12 hours, and significant convection is unlikely to return since the cyclone is over 24 C waters and embedded in a stable air mass. Therefore, Blas is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The initial intensity of 30 kt is based on recent scatterometer data. The remnant low is moving westward at about 9 kt within the low-level trade wind flow. A westward to west-southwestward motion at about the same forward speed is expected during the next couple of days while the low gradually weakens. Dissipation is forecast to occur in 2 to 3 days. Even though Blas is no longer a tropical cyclone, altimeter data from a few hours ago still indicated an area of seas higher than 12 ft near the system. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 21.3N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 11/0000Z 21.3N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1200Z 21.1N 140.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0000Z 20.7N 142.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1200Z 20.3N 144.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:10:05 UTC