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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 10 2016
Deep convection associated with Blas has been absent for more than
12 hours, and significant convection is unlikely to return since the
cyclone is over 24 C waters and embedded in a stable air mass.
Therefore, Blas is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last
advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The
initial intensity of 30 kt is based on recent scatterometer data.
The remnant low is moving westward at about 9 kt within the
low-level trade wind flow. A westward to west-southwestward motion
at about the same forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days while the low gradually weakens. Dissipation is forecast to
occur in 2 to 3 days.
Even though Blas is no longer a tropical cyclone, altimeter data
from a few hours ago still indicated an area of seas higher than 12
ft near the system. For additional information, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/1500Z 21.3N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 11/0000Z 21.3N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 11/1200Z 21.1N 140.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 12/0000Z 20.7N 142.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 12/1200Z 20.3N 144.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW