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TROPICAL STORM OTTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222016
0900 UTC FRI NOV 25 2016

CORRECTED TO USE STANDARD TIME INSTEAD OF DAYLIGHT SAVING TIME.

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 105W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  12(20)   1(21)
10N 105W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

10N 100W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  29(35)   X(35)   X(35)
10N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
10N 100W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

10N 95W        34  X   1( 1)  42(43)  10(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
10N 95W        50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
10N 95W        64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

10N 90W        34 16  73(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
10N 90W        50  1  36(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
10N 90W        64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

10N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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