ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM OTTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016               
2100 UTC MON NOV 21 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   9(14)   3(17)   1(18)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)  23(32)   6(38)   1(39)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  X   2( 2)   8(10)  13(23)  16(39)   2(41)   1(42)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   7(13)   2(15)   X(15)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIMON          34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)  18(29)   6(35)   X(35)
LIMON          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
LIMON          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLON          34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   5(13)   6(19)   1(20)   X(20)
COLON          50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
COLON          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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