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TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222016
0900 UTC FRI NOV 25 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  86.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  86.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.1N  88.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z  9.5N  91.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z  9.2N  94.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z  9.0N  97.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z  9.3N 103.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 10.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 12.5N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N  86.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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