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HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
2100 UTC THU NOV 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA HAVE DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THOSE COUNTRIES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  84.3W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  84.3W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  83.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.7N  86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.2N  88.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z  9.8N  91.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z  9.5N  93.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z  9.4N 100.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 10.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 12.1N 105.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N  84.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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