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TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
2100 UTC WED NOV 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST FROM PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA
TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SAN ANDRES
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF COLON PANAMA TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...USUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA
ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  81.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  81.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  81.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.3N  82.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.2N  83.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.9N  85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.5N  88.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z  9.5N  92.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z  9.5N  97.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 10.5N 102.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  81.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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