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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
800 AM AST TUE OCT 11 2016

...NICOLE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 66.0W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Warning will likely be required for Bermuda later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was
located near latitude 27.2 North, longitude 66.0 West. Nicole is
moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general
motion should continue today. A turn toward the north and an
increase in forward speed is expected tonight, followed by a
northeast turn late Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center
of Nicole is expected to approach Bermuda Wednesday night or
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Nicole is expected to become a hurricane by tonight or Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda by Wednesday
night.  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on
Bermuda Wednesday afternoon.

RAINFALL:  Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches over Bermuda through Thursday.

SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole should increase on Bermuda
during the next couple of days.  These swells will create dangerous
surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being
issued by the Bermuda Weather Service.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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