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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  54
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC MON OCT 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  44.6W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 330SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 780SE 960SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  44.6W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N  45.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.6N  42.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 330SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.2N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.4N  37.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 210SE 150SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 57.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.4N  44.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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