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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC MON OCT 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  45.2W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 900SE 960SW 720NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  45.2W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.7N  45.5W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...400NE 360SE 330SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 46.0N  40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 51.5N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...240NE 210SE 150SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 56.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 65.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 420SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...ABSORBED BY ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N  45.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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