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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  46.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 600SE 810SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  46.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N  47.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 155NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 300SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N  44.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 270SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.8N  41.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 250SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.5N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...480NE 420SE 300SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 58.6N  35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
34 KT...540NE 420SE 420SW 600NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N  46.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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