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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  47.7W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 420NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 540SE 720SW 660NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  47.7W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  48.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.3N  46.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.2N  45.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N  43.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 46.5N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...480NE 420SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 56.6N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
34 KT...540NE 420SE 420SW 600NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N  47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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