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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  48.3W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 420NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 660SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  48.3W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  48.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.4N  47.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.9N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N  44.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.8N  42.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.7N  36.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 360SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 63.0N  32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N  48.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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