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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  49.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 520SE 600SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  49.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  49.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.8N  46.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.6N  45.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N  43.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 50.0N  38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 180SW  90NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 330SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 60.0N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N  49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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