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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  53.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 255SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 450SE 540SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  53.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  54.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.2N  51.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N  48.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.7N  47.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.0N  46.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 300SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 42.1N  43.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 50.5N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 58.0N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N  53.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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