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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  58.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 420SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  58.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N  55.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.1N  51.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.5N  49.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.7N  48.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.0N  46.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 44.5N  42.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 51.0N  37.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N  58.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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