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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC THU OCT 13 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  65.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  55SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 210SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  65.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  66.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.7N  64.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  55SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 34.8N  61.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  55SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N  57.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  55SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.7N  53.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 240SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.0N  49.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 140SW 180NW.
34 KT...340NE 240SE 310SW 380NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 38.5N  49.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 40.5N  47.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  65.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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