Hurricane NICOLE

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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  66.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 180SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  66.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  66.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.2N  66.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.6N  66.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.9N  63.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 38.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 210SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 40.5N  52.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N  51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  66.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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