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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC MON OCT 10 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  65.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  65.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.8N  65.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.6N  65.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N  66.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 27.8N  66.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 34.5N  62.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 38.5N  56.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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