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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  65.3W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  65.3W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.0N  65.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 170SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.9N  65.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.6N  65.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N  65.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 28.4N  66.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.3N  65.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 35.4N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  65.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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