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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  65.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 195 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  65.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  65.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.7N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE  70SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N  66.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.4N  65.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.9N  62.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  65.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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