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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  65.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  65.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  65.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.2N  65.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.7N  65.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.8N  65.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N  65.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 32.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  65.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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