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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  65.2W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  65.2W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  65.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.0N  65.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.1N  65.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.2N  64.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.8N  65.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N  65.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 27.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  65.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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