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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  65.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  65.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.3N  65.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N  64.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.5N  64.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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