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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  61.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  61.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  61.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.7N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.4N  64.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  61.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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