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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  60.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  60.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  60.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.5N  61.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.5N  62.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.8N  63.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.2N  64.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.9N  64.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.5N  65.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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