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HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DANVILLE VA 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NORFOLK VA 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 4 6(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 6 11(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GREENSBORO NC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ROCKY MT NC 34 9 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 16 48(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 21 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHERRY PT NC 34 62 18(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
CHERRY PT NC 50 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW RIVER NC 34 59 29(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
NEW RIVER NC 50 2 25(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 69 20(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 3 23(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SURF CITY NC 34 90 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
SURF CITY NC 50 16 13(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
SURF CITY NC 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
WILMINGTON NC 50 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
WILMINGTON NC 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 61 6(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FLORENCE SC 34 60 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
COLUMBIA SC 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
LITTLE RIVER 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AUGUSTA GA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KINGS BAY GA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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