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HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DANVILLE VA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
GREENSBORO NC 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 34(36) 18(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 14 22(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 5 64(69) 6(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X 17(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 34 4 70(74) 8(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X 24(24) 9(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 6 71(77) 5(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 27(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 39 50(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
SURF CITY NC 50 2 40(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
SURF CITY NC 64 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
WILMINGTON NC 34 60 34(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
WILMINGTON NC 50 3 45(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 85 13(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 10 64(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 1 35(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
FLORENCE SC 34 65 2(67) 1(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69)
FLORENCE SC 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 5 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LITTLE RIVER 34 95 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 26 41(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
LITTLE RIVER 64 4 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 47 26(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 10 20(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 78 6(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 33 12(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
CHARLESTON SC 64 47 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 61 X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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