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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE
FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SURF CITY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  80.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  80.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N  80.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.8N  76.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 26.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  80.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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