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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER...SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER TO SURF CITY...NORTH CAROLINA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW 
PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  78.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  78.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  78.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.6N  79.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.6N  81.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.2N  81.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.1N  80.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  78.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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