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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO EDISTO 
BEACH...SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  77.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  77.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  77.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.4N  79.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.3N  80.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.2N  81.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.7N  80.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 30.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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