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Hurricane MATTHEW


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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0900 UTC THU OCT 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA AND THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO SUWANNEE RIVER

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  77.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  77.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  76.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N  78.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N  79.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N  80.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.7N  80.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.4N  77.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 31.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  77.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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