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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0300 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* JAMAICA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HAITI

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND IN THE
FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MATTHEW.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  74.6W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  74.6W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  74.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.3N  74.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N  74.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N  75.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N  76.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.6N  78.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 130SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 30.0N  79.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 33.3N  77.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  74.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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