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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0300 UTC MON OCT 03 2016

CORRECTED HURRICANE WATCH AND HURRICANE WARNING SECTIONS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HAITI

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  75.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  75.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  75.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.7N  75.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE  70SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N  75.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N  74.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N  74.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.0N  75.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.1N  76.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 30.1N  76.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  75.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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