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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CURACAO AND ARUBA
* COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.  INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...
HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MATTHEW.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  69.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  50SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  69.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  69.3W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.8N  71.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.7N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.9N  73.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.5N  74.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  65SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N  76.0W...INLAND OVER EASTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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