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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0900 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  64.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE  60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  64.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 14.1N  66.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.1N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.9N  70.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.8N  72.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N  75.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  64.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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