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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BONAIRE.  THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR CURACAO AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ARUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR ARUBA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA...BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO  48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  62.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  62.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  61.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.1N  64.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 14.4N  67.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.4N  69.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.1N  71.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.2N  73.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 15.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  62.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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