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TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132016
1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  34.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  34.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  33.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.1N  35.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N  36.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  20SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.8N  37.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  40SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 35.5N  37.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  34.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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