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TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132016
0900 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  34.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  34.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  33.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.9N  34.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.3N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.6N  37.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.0N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.5N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 35.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  34.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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