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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  65.1W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  65.1W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  65.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.3N  64.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.7N  60.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.1N  54.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 42.0N  44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 120SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  65.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER SULLIVAN/BERG


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