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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  62.3W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  62.3W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  61.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.3N  64.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.2N  64.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.3N  62.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 38.0N  50.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 48.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  62.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/CAMPBELL/RUBIN-OSTER


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