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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0900 UTC WED SEP 21 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  57.6W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  57.6W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N  59.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 35.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 43.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  57.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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