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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  54.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  54.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  53.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.7N  56.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE  50SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N  58.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE  50SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  30SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.1N  62.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.6N  65.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 36.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  54.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/KREKELER


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