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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0900 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  52.8W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  52.8W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  52.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.9N  54.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE  50SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.0N  59.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.7N  61.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.4N  64.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N  64.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 34.0N  57.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  52.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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