ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  38.2W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  38.2W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  37.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.1N  40.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...170NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N  42.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...160NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.6N  45.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.8N  47.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.4N  53.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  70SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  38.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
NNNN