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Tropical Depression JULIA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016               
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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