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TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.4W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.4W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 76.8W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.8N 76.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N 76.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.0N 76.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.2N 76.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N 76.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 32.5N 75.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 76.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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