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TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102016
2100 UTC MON SEP 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  50.7W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  50.7W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  50.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.3N  51.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.2N  52.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.7N  54.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.7N  52.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 54.5N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  50.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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