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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

AUGUSTA ME     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PORTLAND ME    34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CONCORD NH     34  7   3(10)   2(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  8   2(10)   2(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

WORCESTER MA   34 15   6(21)   3(24)   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 16   6(22)   4(26)   5(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34 13   5(18)   2(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

HYANNIS MA     34 28   5(33)   3(36)   7(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
HYANNIS MA     50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NANTUCKET MA   50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PROVIDENCE RI  34 34   7(41)   4(45)   7(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34 36  11(47)   5(52)   3(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NEW HAVEN CT   34 34  12(46)   5(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

HARTFORD CT    34 25   9(34)   4(38)   6(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
HARTFORD CT    50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW LONDON CT  34 46   8(54)   4(58)   4(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
NEW LONDON CT  50  4   2( 6)   2( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ALBANY NY      34  7   4(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34 13   7(20)   4(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

MONTAUK POINT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MONTAUK POINT  50 11   4(15)   2(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ISLIP NY       34 47  12(59)   5(64)   3(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
ISLIP NY       50  5   4( 9)   3(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ISLIP NY       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 33  13(46)   6(52)   3(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 26  12(38)   6(44)   3(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEWARK NJ      34 21  13(34)   5(39)   3(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
NEWARK NJ      50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

TRENTON NJ     34 14  11(25)   4(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ   34 26  14(40)   6(46)   3(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  8   6(14)   4(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

PHILADELPHIA   34 11   9(20)   5(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ATLANTIC CITY  34 17  14(31)   5(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  4   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

DOVER DE       34  8   6(14)   3(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

WASHINGTON DC  34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  9   8(17)   3(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  7   6(13)   3(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

WALLOPS CDA    34  5   4( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

RICHMOND VA    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NORFOLK NAS    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK VA     34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BROWN
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