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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 7(23)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 4(17)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 3(16)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 3(23)
PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 10(20) 5(25) 2(27)
CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 11(23) 6(29) 2(31)
PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
PORTSMOUTH NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
WORCESTER MA 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 8(24) 10(34) 5(39) 2(41)
WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 8(24) 9(33) 4(37) 1(38)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 1 6( 7) 8(15) 9(24) 11(35) 6(41) 2(43)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
HYANNIS MA 34 3 10(13) 12(25) 12(37) 13(50) 7(57) 2(59)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 1(16)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 4 15(19) 12(31) 14(45) 13(58) 6(64) 2(66)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 4(20) 1(21)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 2 10(12) 12(24) 11(35) 12(47) 6(53) 2(55)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 2 11(13) 13(26) 9(35) 10(45) 3(48) 1(49)
BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 2 10(12) 13(25) 9(34) 11(45) 4(49) X(49)
NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
HARTFORD CT 34 1 9(10) 11(21) 9(30) 10(40) 4(44) 1(45)
HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
NEW LONDON CT 34 2 12(14) 15(29) 10(39) 12(51) 4(55) 1(56)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12)
NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ALBANY NY 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 6(17) 3(20) 1(21)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 6(21) 9(30) 3(33) 1(34)
MONTAUK POINT 34 4 15(19) 16(35) 13(48) 11(59) 4(63) 1(64)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 4(17) X(17)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ISLIP NY 34 3 13(16) 17(33) 11(44) 9(53) 3(56) 1(57)
ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 1(11) 1(12)
ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 2 13(15) 14(29) 9(38) 9(47) 2(49) 1(50)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 2 11(13) 12(25) 9(34) 8(42) 3(45) X(45)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 2 10(12) 12(24) 9(33) 8(41) 2(43) 1(44)
NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 2 9(11) 11(22) 7(29) 8(37) 2(39) 1(40)
TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 12(15) 15(30) 9(39) 8(47) 2(49) 1(50)
NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 7(26) 1(27) 1(28)
PHILADELPHIA 34 2 9(11) 11(22) 7(29) 7(36) 2(38) X(38)
PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 3 13(16) 16(32) 9(41) 7(48) 2(50) 1(51)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) 4(18) 1(19) 1(20)
DOVER DE 34 3 8(11) 12(23) 7(30) 6(36) 1(37) 1(38)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 4( 5) 7(12) 4(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 11(15) 15(30) 7(37) 6(43) 2(45) X(45)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 12(16) 14(30) 8(38) 6(44) 1(45) X(45)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 2 4( 6) 8(14) 4(18) 4(22) 1(23) 1(24)
WALLOPS CDA 34 4 9(13) 12(25) 6(31) 7(38) 1(39) X(39)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
NORFOLK NAS 34 3 4( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22)
NORFOLK VA 34 3 4( 7) 7(14) 4(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 3 5( 8) 8(16) 3(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 3 3( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 4( 7) 6(13) 3(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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